Columbia
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 91.4149Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 9- 8 227 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 1- 2 228 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 2- 5 306 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 7- 5 307 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 5- 9 308 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 1-16 313 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 3- 6 314 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 0- 2 314 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 6-10 315 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 4-17 317 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 5-16 422 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 8- 4 515 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 3- 7 516 H Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 6- 3 517 A Brown IVY ( 3- 4, 91.5) 2- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Kansas State 9- 8 1 -6 +++ 6.88
227 A Kansas State 1- 2 -1 -6 ++ 4.88
228 A Kansas State 2- 5 -3 -6 + 2.88
306 H George Mason 7- 5 2 2 -0.07
307 A West Virginia 5- 9 -4 -7 + 3.41
308 A West Virginia 1-16 -15 -7 --- -6.59
313 A South Florida 3- 6 -3 -4 0.84
314 A South Florida 0- 2 -2 -4 1.84
314 A South Florida 6-10 -4 -4 -0.16
315 A Louisiana Tech 4-17 -13 -4 --- -9.08
317 H Kennesaw State 5-16 -11 -3 --- -8.42
422 H Stony Brook 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.37
515 H Hawai'i 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.44
516 H Pennsylvania 6- 3 3 0 + 2.84
517 A Brown 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A West Virginia 1-16 -15 -7 --- -6.59 315 A Louisiana Tech 4-17 -13 -4 --- -9.08 317 H Kennesaw State 5-16 -11 -3 --- -8.42 515 H Hawai'i 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Kansas State 9- 8 1 -6 +++ 6.88 227 A Kansas State 1- 2 -1 -6 ++ 4.88 422 H Stony Brook 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.37 228 A Kansas State 2- 5 -3 -6 + 2.88 307 A West Virginia 5- 9 -4 -7 + 3.41 516 H Pennsylvania 6- 3 3 0 + 2.84 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 9- 8 -3.28 15.14 0.68 1.93 61.00
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.28 15.14 0.68 1.93 -2.51
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.28 15.14 0.68 1.93 -2.51
3 H George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 7- 5 -9.88 8.55 -0.68 1.93 30.36
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 5- 9 -1.75 16.68 0.68 1.93 -1.04
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 1-16 -1.75 16.68 0.68 1.93 -1.04
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 3- 6 -5.32 13.11 0.68 1.93 -4.48
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 0- 2 -5.32 13.11 0.68 1.93 -4.48
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 6-10 -5.32 13.11 0.68 1.93 -4.48
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 4-17 -5.24 13.19 0.68 1.93 -4.40
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 5-16 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 1.93 -5.69
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 8- 4 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 1.93 39.76
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 3- 7 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 1.93 -6.67
3 H Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 6- 3 -7.97 10.46 -0.68 1.93 37.72
3 A Brown ( 3- 4, 91.5) 2- 4 -8.35 10.07 0.68 1.93 -7.40
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124.15
|
winning pts = 168.8352 losing points = -44.6871
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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